NIGERIA - Nigeria Climate risk assessment in agriculture and coastal development

One of the aims is to implement an integrated assessment of climate related risks, based on available datasets and exisisting models, focusing on different but interacting sectors (agriculture and water)

Duration
23 months from 01/01/2011 to 01/12/2012

Funded by

The World Bank

Coordinating organization

CMCC - Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici

CMCC Scientific Leader

Valentini Riccardo

CMCC Project manager

Santini Monia

CMCC Institutes

CMCC Divisions

General aims

to implement an integrated assessment of climate related risks, based on available datasets and exisisting models, focusing on different but interacting sectors (agriculture and water);
to analyze a set of representative and plausible scenarios alerting policymakers and stakeholders about emerging problems related to climate change impacts (e.g. sector development, food security, water scarcity, energy supply), and providing a reference point for strategic planning of adaptation measures in Nigeria;
to identify and assess potential adaptation measures to reduce above assessed risks related to climate;
to quantitatively assess the effectiveness of adaptation measures to climate change;

CMCC Role

Coordinator and supervisor of three local consultants

Activity

A.1 – Historical climatic and hydrological variability review
A.2 – Review and assessment of drivers of changes
A.3 – Analysis of available climate projections
A.4 – Review of the findings
B.1 – Definition of policy-level indicators of change
B.2 – Definition of reference targets
B.3 – Climate Impact Assessment
B.3.1 – “Intermediate” variable and impact model selection
B.3.2 – Impact model selection for policy level variable
B.3.3 – Baseline scenarios
B.3.4 – Alternative scenarios
B.4 – Implications for high-level policy variables
B.5 – Decision Support System (DDS) for adaptation
B.5.1 – Testing and selection of adaptation options by DSS
B.5.2 – Identification of adaptation indicators

Partners

CMCC - Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici