CMCC Webinar
16 July 2024, 12:00 CEST
To join the webinar, register here

Speaker:
Dario Nicolì – CMCC

Moderator:
Panos Athanasiadis – CMCC

Abstract

In recent decades, the Mediterranean region has witnessed a notable surge in temperatures, experiencing an approximate 1.5°C increase compared to the preindustrial period, a figure surpassing the global mean temperature rise of approximately 1.1°C until 2020. Similarly significant trends are evident also for precipitation and other climate variables crucial for the region’s environment and many, if not all, sectors of the economy and society. In this context, decadal predictions have emerged as a promising tool, initialized with information about the observed climate state and so bridging the gap between seasonal forecasts and climate projections. Within the CMIP6 framework, the Decadal Climate Prediction Project (DCPP) stands as a gateway, inviting exploration into the nuances of near-term climate prediction, predictability, and variability, offering a valuable tool to assess the societal impacts of decadal climate variability. The speaker will present and discuss results from a number of studies related to different branches of the DCPP, from idealized experiments to the CMCC operational decadal prediction system, to assess the decadal predictability of European precipitation and the underlying mechanisms.