Presentations, posters, scientific sessions on atmospheric sciences, global environmental changes, biogeosciences, GeoHealth, hydrology, natural hazards and much more. A summary of how the CMCC Foundation is contributing to the agenda of the American Geosciences Union Fall Meeting, which is taking place in San Francisco from 9 to 13 December, 2019.

AGU, the American Geosciences Union, marks its Centennial in 2019. The Fall Meeting 2019 (San Francisco, December 9-13) hosts presentations and special events that create a bridge between the past and the future of the Earth and space sciences. The event brings together over 24,000 scientists from around the world to explore rapid developments in science, new approaches to observing our Earth and beyond, the introduction of new data streams, growing demand for accessible science, the expansion of convergent science, and more.

Scientists from the CMCC Foundation contribute to the agenda with oral presentations, scientific posters and organizing eLightning sessions, where interactive electronic posters create an engaging experience for both presenters and attendees.

Below is a list of the conference sessions featuring works of the CMCC Foundation.

The full program of the Conference is available here.

Monday, 9 December 2019

POSTER / 08:00 – 12:20, Moscone South – Poster Hall / NH11B – Concurrent, Consecutive, and Cascading Events: An Emerging Challenge for Risk Assessment and Management of Natural and Natech Hazards I Posters
Antonia Sebastian, Texas A&M University at Galveston, Marine Sciences, Galveston, TX, United States, Marleen Carolijn de Ruiter, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands, Ioannis Gidaris, Swiss Re, White Plains, TX, United States and Jaroslav Mysiak, Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici CMCC, Venice, Italy

POSTER / 13:40 – 18:00, Moscone South – Poster Hall / H13J-1832 – Safer_RAIN: a Fast-Processing DEM-Based Algorithm for Pluvial Flood Hazard Assessment Across Large Urban Areas
Attilio Castellarin¹, Caterina Samela², Simone Persiano Sr³, Stefano Bagli⁴, Valerio Luzzi⁵, Paolo Mazzoli⁶, Jaroslav Mysiak⁷, Günter Humer⁸ and Andreas Reithofer⁸, (1)University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy, (2)University of Basilicata, DICEM, Potenza, Italy, (3)University of Bologna, DICAM, Bologna, Italy, (4)GECOsitema Srl, R&D, Rimini, Italy, (5)Gecosistema Srl, R&D, Rimini, Italy, (6)GECOSistema Srl, R&D, Rimini, Italy, (7)CMCC Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, Ca’ Foscari University of Venice, Venice, Italy, (8)Dipl.-Ing. Günter Humer GmbH, Geboltskirchen, Austria

ORAL PRESENTATION / 14:40 – 14:55, Moscone West – 2016, L2 / NH13A-05 – Innovative flood hazard raster-based and damage Bayesian Network models for mapping fluvial, coastal and pluvial flood risk in urban areas: The SaferPLACES approach for RIMINI case study
Stefano Bagli¹, Paolo Mazzoli², Valerio Luzzi³, Attilio Castellarin⁴, Caterina Samela⁵, Simone Persiano Sr⁵, Arthur Hrast Essenfelder⁶, Mattia Amadio⁶, Jaroslav Mysiak⁶, Kai Schroeter⁷, Dominik Paprotny⁷, Luis Mediero⁸, Stefania Pasetti⁹, Günter Humer¹⁰, Andreas Reithofer¹⁰, Anna Montini¹¹, Chiara Dal Piaz¹¹, Francesca Renzi¹² and SaferPLACES, (1)GECOsitema Srl, R&D, Rimini, Italy, (2)GECOSistema Srl, R&D, Rimini, Italy, (3)Gecosistema Srl, R&D, Rimini, Italy, (4)Università di Bologna, DICAM, Bologna, Italy, (5)University of Bologna, DICAM, Bologna, Italy, (6)CMCC Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, Ca’ Foscari University of Venice, Venice, Italy, (7)GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Section Hydrology, Potsdam, Germany, (8)Technical University of Madrid, Madrid, Spain, (9)MEEO S.r.l. Meteorological Environmental Earth Observation, Ferrara, Italy, (10)Dipl.-Ing. Günter Humer GmbH, Geboltskirchen, Austria, (11)Comune di Rimini, Rimini, Italy, (12)Gecosistema srl, R&D, Rimini, Italy

ORAL PRESENTATION / 16:32 – 16:40, Moscone West – 3018, L3 / H14H-05 – From end to end: Assessing adaptation responses to water scarcity in agriculture through modular recursive hydro-micro-macro-economic modeling
Carlos Dionisio Perez Blanco¹, Ramiro Parrado², Gabriele Standardi², Arthur Hrast Essenfelder³ and Carlos Gutiérrez⁴, (1)University of Salamanca, Salamanca, Spain, (2)CMCC, Venice, Italy, (3)CMCC Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, Ca’ Foscari University of Venice, Venice, Italy, (4)U. Córdoba, U. Córdoba, Spain

Tuesday, 10 December 2019

POSTER / 08:00 – 12:20, Moscone South – Poster Hall / A21V-2720 – Remote subsurface ocean temperature as a predictor of Atlantic hurricane activity
Enrico Scoccimarro¹, Alessio Bellucci², Andrea Storto³, Silvio Gualdi¹, Simona Masina⁴ and Antonio Navarra¹, (1)Fondazione CMCC, Bologna, Italy, (2)Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, Climate Simulations and Predictions Division, Bologna, Italy, (3)Fondazione CMCC, Bolognia, Italy, (4)Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, Ocean Modelling and Data Assimilation, Bologna, Italy

POSTER/ 08:00 – 12:20, Moscone South – Poster Hall / B21K-2370 – Stock and future change of soil organic carbon in the Euro-Mediterranean forest and tree crop systems
Costantino Sirca^1,2, Antonio Caddeo¹, Serena Marras^1,3, Lorenzo Sallustio^4,5 and Donatella Spano^3,6, (1)University of Sassari, Dipartimento di Agraria, Sassari, Italy, (2)Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, Impacts on Agriculture, Forests and Natural Ecosystems (IAFES), Sassari, Italy, (3)Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC), Impacts on Agriculture, Forests and Natural Ecosystems (IAFES), Sassari, Italy, (4)Università degli Studi del Molise, Dipartimento di Bioscienze e Territorio (DiBT), Pesche, Italy, (5)Università degli Studi del Molise, Centro di Ricerca per le Aree Interne e gli Appennini (ArIA), Campobasso, Italy, (6)University of Sassari, Department of Agriculture, Sassari, Italy

POSTER / 13:40 – 18:00, Moscone South – Poster Hall / A23S-3034 – ENSO teleconnection versus NAO variability in late winter
Bianca Mezzina¹, Javier García-Serrano², Ileana Blade², Froila Palmeiro², Lauriane Batté³, Constantin Ardilouze³, Marianna Benassi⁴ and Silvio Gualdi⁴, (1)Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, Spain, (2)Universitat de Barcelona (UB), Group of Meteorology, Barcelona, Spain, (3)CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France, (4)Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), Bologna, Italy

POSTER / 13:40 – 18:00, Moscone South – Poster Hall / NH23C-1033 – Recent fire patterns in Italy, consequent carbon loss and greenhouse gas emissions, and implications for land and fire management
Valentina Maria Bacciu¹, Carla Scarpa², José Maria Costa Saura³, Costantino Sirca^1,2 and Donatella Spano^1,4, (1)CMCC Foundation – Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici, Impact on Agriculture, Forests and Ecosystem Services (IAFES) Division, Sassari, Italy, (2)University of Sassari, Dipartimento di Agraria, Sassari, Italy, (3)CMCC Foundation – Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici, Impact of Agriculture, Forests and Ecosystem Services (IAFES) Division, Sassari, Italy, (4)University of Sassari, Department of Agriculture, Sassari, Italy

Wednesday, 11 December

eLIGHTNING SESSION / Moscone South – eLightning Theater II / NH31C-03 – C3S Demo Case Soil Erosion: Assessing climate change impacts to support the implementation of best management practices against soil erosion over Italy
Monia Santini, Foundation Euro-Mediterranean Centre on Climate Change (CMCC), Division on Impacts on Agriculture, Forests and Ecosystem Services (IAFES), Viterbo, Italy, Guido Rianna, Foundation Euro-Mediterranean Centre on Climate Change (CMCC), Division on REgional Models and geo-Hydrological Impacts (REMHI), Capua, Italy, Marco Mancini, Foundation Euro-Mediterranean Centre on Climate Change (CMCC), Division on Advanced Scientific Computing (ASC), Lecce, Italy, Sergio Noce, Foundation Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC), Division on Impacts on Agriculture, Forests and Ecosystem Services (IAFES), Viterbo, Italy and Roberta Padulano, Foundation Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC), Division on REgional Models and geo-Hydrological Impacts (REMHI), Capua, Italy
See the e-poster

eLIGHTNING SESSION / 08:00 – 10:00, Moscone South – eLightning Theater II / NH31C  – Shallow Landslides and Soil Erosion in a Changing Climate: Trends, Uncertainties, and Mitigation to Adaptation Solutions
Monia Santini, Foundation Euro-Mediterranean Centre on Climate Change (CMCC), Division on Impacts on Agriculture, Forests and Ecosystem Services (IAFES), Viterbo, Italy, Guido Rianna, Foundation Euro-Mediterranean Centre on Climate Change (CMCC), Division on REgional Models and geo-Hydrological Impacts (REMHI), Capua, Italy and Stefano Luigi Gariano, CNR-IRPI, National Research Council – Research Institute for Geo-Hydrological Protection (IRPI), Perugia, Italy

POSTER / 08:00 – 12:20, Moscone South – Poster Hall / A31S-2828 – Assessment of Seasonal Forecast and Agrometeorological Indexes for use in Europe and Mediterranean Areas
Donatella Spano¹, José Maria Costa Saura², Valentina Maria Bacciu³, Valentina Mereu² and Antonio Trabucco², (1)University of Sassari, and Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Changes (CMCC), Dipartimento di Agraria, and CMCC IAFES Division, Sassari, Italy, (2)Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC) Foundation, Impacts on Agriculture, Forests and Ecosystems Services (IAFES), Sassari, Italy, (3)Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, Impacts on Agriculture, Forests and Natural Ecosystems (IAFES), Sassari, Italy

ORAL PRESENTATION / 11:30 – 11:40, Moscone West – 2007, L2 / GC32C-07 – Sensitivity of the Mediterranean summer climate to soil moisture in numerical experiments
Constantin Ardilouze¹, Lauriane Batté¹, Stefano Materia², Marianna Benassi² and Aaron anthony Boone¹, (1)CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France, (2)Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), Bologna, Italy

POSTER / 13:40 – 18:00, Moscone South – Poster Hall / GC33F-1436 – Early retirement of power plants in climate mitigation scenarios
Robert Fofrich¹, Dan Tong¹, Katherine V Calvin², Harmen-Sytze de Boer³, Johannes Emmerling⁴, Oliver Fricko⁵, Shinichiro Fujimori⁶, Gunnar Luderer⁷, Joeri Rogelj⁵ and Steven J Davis¹, (1)University of California Irvine, Earth System Science, Irvine, CA, United States, (2)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States, (3)PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague, Netherlands, (4)RFF-CMCC European Institute on Economics and the Environment (EIEE), Milan, Italy, (5)IIASA International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, (6)National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Center for Social and Environmental Systems Research, Tsukuba, Japan, (7)Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany

ORAL PRESENTATION / 14:25 – 14:40, Moscone West – 3002, L3 / A33F-04 – Effects of mean state of climate models on the response to prescribed forcing: Sensitivity experiments with the SPEEDY general circulation model.
Susanna Corti¹, Emanuele Di Carlo¹, Paolo Ruggieri², Paolo Davini³ and Stefano Tibaldi⁴, (1)CNR Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Bologna, Italy, (2)Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), Bologna, Italy, (3)CNR Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Torino, Italy, (4)Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici, Bologna, Italy

ORAL PRESENTATION / 14:25 – 14:40, Moscone West – 2020, L2 / GH33A-06 – Extreme events of perceived temperature over Europe: a projected northward extension of dangerous area
Enrico Scoccimarro, Silvio Gualdi and Pier Giuseppe Fogli, Fondazione CMCC, Bologna, Italy

ORAL PRESENTATION / 17:00 – 17:15, Moscone West – 2005, L2 / GC34A-05 – Climate Change Risk on Cereal Production in the Euro-Mediterranean Area
Valentina Mereu^1,2, José Maria Costa Saura^1,2, Antonio Trabucco^1,2 and Donatella Spano^2,3, (1)Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC) Foundation, Impacts on Agriculture, Forests and Ecosystems Services (IAFES), Sassari, Italy, (2)University of Sassari, Department of Agriculture, Sassari, Italy, (3)Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC) Foundation, Impacts on Agriculture, Forests and Ecosystems Services (IAFES), Sassari, ARRAY(0x1064cfc8), Italy

Thursday, 12 December

POSTER / 13:40 – 18:00, Moscone South – Poster Hall / GC43G-1321 – Employment of Compound Events in Developing and Validating the Stochastic Spatial Weather Generator
Martin Dubrovsky^1,2, Ondrej Lhotka^1,2, Jiri Miksovsky^2,3, Michele Salis⁴, Petr Stepanek², Petr Skalak² and Jan Meitner², (1)Institute of Atmospheric Physics CAS, Prague, Czech Republic, (2)Global Change Research Institute CAS, Brno, Czech Republic, (3)Charles University, Faculty of Mathematics and Physics, Department of Atmospheric Physics, Prague, 180, Czech Republic, (4)Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC), Impacts on Agriculture, Forests and Natural Ecosystems (IAFES), Sassari, Italy

POSTER / 13:40 – 18:0, Moscone South – Poster Hall / A43N-3088 – Modulation of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings by ENSO and the PDO
Froila Palmeiro¹, Javier García-Serrano¹, Constantin Ardilouze², Lauriane Batté², Marianna Benassi³ and Silvio Gualdi⁴, (1)Universitat de Barcelona (UB), Group of Meteorology, Barcelona, Spain, (2)CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France, (3)Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), Bologna, Italy, (4)Fondazione CMCC, Bologna, Italy

Friday, 13 December

eLIGHTNING SESSION / Moscone South – eLightning Theater II / PA51C-14 – Do we really need inflow forecasts to improve reservoir operations?
Matteo Giuliani¹, Marta Zaniolo¹, Andrea Castelletti¹, Guido Davoli^2,3 and Paul J Block⁴, (1)Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy, (2)Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), Bologna, Italy, (3)Ca’ Foscari University, Venice, Italy, (4)University of Wisconsin Madison, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Madison, WI, United States
See the e-poster

POSTER / 13:40 – 18:00, Moscone South – Poster Hall / NH53B-0812 – Smart Climate Hydropower Tool: artificial intelligence for effective hydropower production forecast and management
Paolo Mazzoli¹, Stefano Bagli², Valerio Luzzi³, Jaroslav Mysiak⁴, Francesco Dalla Valle Sr⁵, Arthur Hrast Essenfelder⁴ and Davide Broccoli⁶, (1)GECOSistema Srl, R&D, Rimini, Italy, (2)GECOsitema Srl, R&D, Rimini, Italy, (3)Gecosistema Srl, R&D, Rimini, Italy, (4)CMCC Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, Ca’ Foscari University of Venice, Venice, Italy, (5)Enel Green Power S.p.A, Mestre, Italy, (6)Gecosistema Srl, R&D unit, Bolzano, Italy

POSTER / 13:40 – 18:00, Moscone South – Poster Hall / NH53B-0813 – The Sardinia Adaptation Strategy to Climate Change Towards a Sustainable Development
Serena Marras^1,2, Valentina Maria Bacciu¹, Valentina Mereu¹, Antonio Trabucco³, Simone Mereu^1,2, Gianluca Cocco⁴, Giovanni Satta⁴, Filippo Arras⁴, Annalisa Congiu⁴ and Donatella Spano^1,5, (1)Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC), Impacts on Agriculture, Forests and Natural Ecosystems (IAFES), Sassari, Italy, (2)University of Sassari, Dipartimento di Agraria, Sassari, Italy, (3)Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC) Foundation, Impacts on Agriculture, Forests and Ecosystems Services (IAFES), Sassari, Italy, (4)Sardinia Region, Cagliari, Italy, (5)University of Sassari, Department of Agriculture, Sassari, Italy